Dan J. Harkey

Master Educator | Business & Finance Consultant | Mentor

Leverage as an Investment Strategy: Genius or Disaster?

Leverage, a complex and powerful tool in finance, allows investors to amplify returns by borrowing capital to increase the size of their positions. While it can make investors look like geniuses during good times, it can also lead to catastrophic losses when markets turn against them. Understanding the intricacies of leverage is essential before diving into this high-risk strategy.

by Dan J. Harkey

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What Is Leverage?

Leverage, in its simplest form, refers to the use of borrowed funds to increase the potential return on an investment.  It’s like controlling more assets than your actual capital allows, a concept that underpins Leverage’s power and risk.

Leverage Ratio Formula: Leverage ratio = Total Assets Controlled / Equity Investor’s Own Capital)

For example, if you invest $1,000 and control $40,000 worth of assets: Leverage Ratio = 40,000 / 1,000 = 40:1

Impact on Returns

The return on equity (ROE) with Leverage can be calculated as: ROE = Change in Asset Value / Equity.

  • Example 1: No Leverage

Invest $1,000 in stock that rises 10%.
Change in value = $100
ROE = $100 / $1,000 = 10%

  • Example 2: 40-to-1 Leverage

Control $40,000 worth of stock with $1,000 equity.
Stock rises 10% → Position value = $44,000
Gain = $4,000
ROE = $4,000 / $1,000 = 400%

The Double-Edged Sword

The same formula applies to losses.  If the stock falls 10%:

Your $1,000 equity is wiped out, and you owe $3,000 beyond your initial investment.  A mere 2.5% decline erases your entire capital.

Historic Lessons: Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM)

One of the most famous cautionary tales about Leverage is the story of Long-Term Capital Management in the late 1990s.  LTCM used leverage ratios often exceeding 25-to-1 to exploit small pricing inefficiencies.  For years, they delivered stellar returns, but in 1998, Russia’s debt default caused their positions to implode.

Losses spiraled out of control, requiring a $3.6 billion bailout to prevent systemic collapse.

Lesson: Even Nobel Prize-winning economists can fail when Leverage meets unforeseen volatility.

Key Takeaways

·         Leverage amplifies both gains and losses.

·         Small market moves can wipe out leveraged positions.

·         Understand margin calls and liquidity risks before using Leverage.

·         History shows that Leverage can turn brilliance into disaster overnight.

Here’s a clear table showing how different leverage ratios affect the percentage move needed to wipe out your equity:

Impact of Leverage on Risk

Leverage Ratio

Assets Controlled

Equity

% Price Drop to Wipe Out Equity

1:1

$1,000

$1,000

100%

5:1

$5,000

$1,000

20%

10:1

$10,000

$1,000

10%

20:1

$20,000

$1,000

5%

40:1

$40,000

$1,000

2.5%

Formula for % Drop to Wipe Out Equity: Critical Drop (%) = Equity / Total Assets Controlled X 100

Example for 40:1 leverage: Critical Drop = 1,000/ 40,000 X 100 = 2.5%

Margin Call Thresholds

When you use Leverage, brokers require you to maintain a minimum equity percentage in your account, called the maintenance margin.  If your equity falls below this threshold, you’ll receive a margin call, forcing you to deposit more funds or liquidate positions.

Key Formula for Equity Percentage: Equity% % = Equity / Total Position Value X 100

Margin Call Trigger: Price Drop Trigger = Initial Equity – Maintenance Margin Requirement /  Total Position Value X 100

  • Initial Equity = $1,000
  • Position Value = $40,000
  • Maintenance Margin = 25% of position value (industry standard for stocks)

Required equity = $10,000 (25% of $40,000)
You only have $1,000, so you’re already below maintenance margin!
This means extreme Leverage, like 40:1, is not allowed in retail stock accounts—it’s typical in derivatives or institutional trading.

Table: Leverage Ratios and Margin Call Risk

Leverage Ratio

Position Value

Equity

Maintenance Margin (25%)

Price Drop Before Margin Call

5:1

$5,000

$1,000

$1,250

~5%

10:1

$10,000

$1,000

$2,500

Immediate (already below)

20:1

$20,000

$1,000

$5,000

Immediate

40:1

$40,000

$1,000

$10,000

Immediate

Important: In real-world brokerage accounts, Leverage is capped (e.g., 2:1 for U.S. stocks) due to these risks.  Higher leverage ratios are common in futures, forex, and institutional strategies.

Here’s the LTCM margin call example added to your article:

Margin Calls and LTCM: A Real-World Disaster

Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) was a hedge fund that famously collapsed in 1998 due to excessive Leverage.  At its peak, LTCM had $4.7 billion in equity but controlled positions worth over $125 billion, with additional off-balance-sheet derivatives exposure exceeding $1 trillion.  This translates to leverage ratios of 25:1 or higher.

How Margin Calls Hit LTCM

  • LTCM’s strategy relied on small spreads converging over time.  When Russia defaulted on its debt, spreads widened dramatically instead.
  • Losses mounted quickly, eroding LTCM’s equity.
  • As equity fell below maintenance margin requirements, prime brokers issued margin calls, demanding billions in additional collateral.
  • LTCM couldn’t meet these calls, forcing liquidation of positions at fire-sale prices.
  • The unwinding threatened global markets, prompting a $3.6 billion bailout coordinated by the Federal Reserve.

A Real-World Warning

Margin calls can trigger a liquidity spiral.  When highly leveraged positions move against you, you may be forced to sell assets at the worst possible time, amplifying losses.

Leverage is seductive because it promises outsized gains, but it is unforgiving when markets turn.  Margin calls don’t wait for your strategy to recover—they force liquidation at the worst possible time.  LTCM’s collapse is proof that even Nobel Prize-winning economists and sophisticated models can’t eliminate risk.  In fact, Leverage often magnifies liquidity crises: when prices fall, lenders demand more collateral, triggering a cascade of forced sales that accelerates losses.  If you use Leverage, it’s not just about aiming for success; it’s also about anticipating the unexpected and having a survival plan in place.